In one of the matches of the 1/16 final of the ATP Geneva, Fabio Fognini will face Guido Pella. Who will be stronger?

Fabio Fognini

In mid-April, Fabio was eliminated at the stage of the 1/4 finals of the ATP tournament Monte Carlo, losing 0-2 to Ruud, after which the results got even worse. Loss Zapate Miralles in the first round of the ATP Barcelona, relegation in the second round of the ATP Madrid-a defeat by Berrettini, as well as a failure at the home tournament in Rome-0: 2 from Nishikori. The Italian is experiencing a decline, ceasing to pass even 2-3 laps in tournaments. In the previous three he managed to win one victory with three defeats. 

Guido Pelha

Guido Pelha played three extreme matches according to a shortened program, playing one set on the court. In the first case, he won 1-0 against Gerasimov, who lost 0-6 in the first set, lost 0-2 in the second and refused to continue the meeting. In the other two cases, Guido himself refused to continue the fight: he lost 0-1 to Millman and Sinner. The first two results took place in the ATP Munich, where Pelha reached the 1/8 final, and the loss to Sinner happened at the ATP Madrid tournament, at the 1/32 final stage. 

Statistics and figures:

  • Fabio Fognini has lost in three of his last four games;
  • Guido Pelha in the previous three matches held one full set: once the opponent refused to finish the game, and twice Pelha himself;
  • Fognini and Pelha have met each other five times: 3 wins for Fabio and 2 for Guido. 

Forecast

It's time for Fognini to return positive results and go beyond the second round, and it would not hurt for Pelle to go the whole distance of the match again. It seems to me that the Italian should win here, as he has a higher level of skill, and is used to full-fledged fights, but Guido has already forgotten what 2-3 sets are, so endurance can fail.