Australia - Argentina: Forecast and bet on the quarterfinal basketball match of the OI-2020

Australia - Argentina: Forecast and bet on the quarterfinal basketball match of the OI-2020
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Australia and Argentina will meet in one of the matches of the 1/4 finals of the OI-2020. We analyze the form of the teams and give a forecast. 

Australia

In the group stage, Australia consistently scored more than eighty points, while playing reliably in defense. As a result, three victories were won in three duels and the first place was won. The most difficult match turned out to be with Italy, in which the Australians won only by a difference of 3 points (86-83). In the other two matches, Victoria was given easier: 84-67 over Nigeria and 89-76 over Germany. 

Argentina

But Argentina miraculously got into the playoffs, having minimal chances before the final round. And this happened for the reason that the representative of South America lost in the two opening matches, earning a total of two points. Before the third match, there were no chances for the first two places, so we had to count on the third line to fight with the other two teams that took third places. The requirement was simple - to be in the top two among the third teams, and Argentina did it, achieving the best difference between abandoned and conceded points. 

Statistics and figures:

  • Australia won all three matches;
  • Argentina lost in two out of three matches;
  • Australia has won against Argentina in three previous head-to-head confrontations. 

Forecast

I don't think that Argentina, which was on the verge of relegation from the Olympics, will be able to put up a decent resistance to Australia, which won all the games at the OI-2020 and has an 8-match winning streak. I bet that the Australians will win with a handicap of -5.5. 

Tip: Australia's victory with a handicap of -5.5
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